Eli Manning

Another week, another strong performance from our prediction experts. In Week 13, we were a perfect eight-for-eight in games picked with less than 60 percent confidence, a promising sign for those toss-up matchups that are always tough to call. We could have done one game better were it not for Eric Berry‘s unbelievable heroics in the Kansas City Chiefs‘ 29-28 win over the Atlanta Falcons, but we won’t complain too much about it (seriously, that was awesome).

As we head down the home stretch of the 2016 season, now is no time for resting on our laurels — it’s time to finish strong. With a full slate of 16 games in Week 14, our team will have its hands full. PointAfter, a sports data site powered by Graphiq, looked through each matchup and predicted the winner of each game using data from Bing Predicts. Bing Predicts uses web activity and social sentiment — in addition to historical player, team and match stats — to predict the outcome of NFL games. Web and social data allow Bing Predicts to capture real-time information about lineup changes and reaction to them to tune the strengths of teams.

The week opens with a huge AFC West showdown between the Chiefs and the Oakland Raiders. In Sunday night’s primetime slot, the Dallas Cowboys square off against the New York Giants, with the Cowboys looking to clinch the NFC East.

Note: Also included with game predictions are the opening lines for each game, courtesy of Vegas Insider.

#1. Pittsburgh Steelers (7-5) @ Buffalo Bills (6-6)

Le'Veon Bell

Bing Predicts winner: Steelers (52 percent)

Opening line: PIT -1.5
Kickoff time: 1:00 p.m. EST

The Bills are essentially out of playoff contention, but the Steelers are still jockeying for the top spot in the mediocre AFC North. Pittsburgh has won three straight games as Le’Veon Bell continued his hot streak.

Bell totaled 182 yards from scrimmage in last week’s win over the Giants, his fifth consecutive game with 130 total yards or more. He’ll face a Bills defense that ranks 16th in rushing yards allowed per attempt (4.1), but Buffalo has allowed the fourth-most rushing touchdowns (15) on the season.

#2. New York Jets (3-9) @ San Francisco 49ers (1-11)

Bryce Petty

Bing Predicts winner: 49ers (52 percent)

Opening line: SF -1
Kickoff time: 4:05 p.m. EST

Not much to love about this matchup between last-place teams. The Jets will start Bryce Petty for the rest of the season after getting nothing positive from Ryan Fitzpatrick. Petty will catch a break by facing the league’s worst defense in terms of yards (416.3) and points (30.8) allowed per game. San Francisco has allowed an opponents’ passer rating of 99.8 — basically, every quarterback has looked like Derek Carr when facing the 49ers.

#3. Washington Redskins (6-5-1) @ Philadelphia Eagles (5-7)

Kirk Cousins

Bing Predicts winner: Redskins (53 percent)

Opening line: WAS -1
Kickoff time: 1:00 p.m. EST

The Redskins’ playoff chances have taken a hit these past two weeks with back-to-back losses against Dallas and Arizona. Washington hasn’t won in its last four road trips but faces an Eagles team that’s lost five of its last six games. Philadelphia rushed for just 53 yards last week against Cincinnati, though the Redskins should offer an opportunity for improvement. Washington ranks 29th in yards per attempt allowed (4.6) and have allowed the most rushing touchdowns (17) on the year, tied with San Francisco.

#4. Dallas Cowboys (11-1) @ New York Giants (8-4)

Dak Prescott

Bing Predicts winner: Giants (53 percent)

Opening line: DAL -2.5
Kickoff time: 8:30 p.m. EST (Thursday)

The Cowboys look to avenge their lone blemish on the season in their trip to the Meadowlands. A win would mark their 12th straight victory and clinch the division for Dallas, while the Giants currently own the top wild card spot. As Dak Prescott emerges as a legitimate MVP candidate, he’ll face a Giants defense that has the fourth-lowest opponents’ passer rating allowed (78.6). Prescott ranks third in the league in passer rating (108.6) and has thrown just two interceptions all year.

#5. Seattle Seahawks (8-3-1) @ Green Bay Packers (6-6)

Earl Thomas

Bing Predicts winner: Seahawks (58 percent)

Opening line: SEA -2.5
Kickoff time: 4:25 p.m. EST

Though the Seahawks are coming off a 40-7 beatdown of the Panthers last week, the outlook is not all rosy in Seattle. Five-time All-Pro safety Earl Thomas is out for the season with a broken tibia, and the Seahawks’ secondary will have to figure out how to replace him in a hurry. Aaron Rodgers has thrown seven touchdowns and no picks in his last three games, posting a 113.9 passer rating. The Packers’ modest two-game win streak has put them back in the playoff picture, though the Seahawks have been the far more consistent team on the season and get the nod from Bing Predicts, even with Thomas’ absence.

#6. Denver Broncos (8-4) @ Tennessee Titans (6-6)

Marcus Mariota

Bing Predicts winner: Titans (60 percent)

Opening line: TEN -1.5
Kickoff time: 1:00 p.m. EST

The Broncos’ quarterback situation is currently up in the air, as Trevor Siemian is recovering from a foot injury. Rookie Paxton Lynch struggled in the team’s Week 13 win over Jacksonville, as Denver’s offense amassed just 206 yards and 13 points.

The Broncos’ defense is still strong, but they’ll face perhaps the hottest quarterback in the league in Marcus Mariota, who’s thrown 21 touchdowns and three interceptions in his past eight games. Mariota’s passer rating during that time is an absurd 117.7, and he’s added 238 rushing yards over that stretch.

#7. New Orleans Saints (5-7) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-5)

Jameis Winston

Bing Predicts winner: Buccaneers (60 percent)

Opening line: PK
Kickoff time: 4:25 p.m. EST

The Bucs continued their run last week with a 28-21 win over San Diego. That marked Tampa Bay’s fourth straight win and put the team in first place in the NFC North. Like Mariota, Jameis Winston has enjoyed a breakout year during his sophomore campaign. In his past eight games, Winston has a 101.7 passer rating with 15 touchdowns and has taken better care of the ball, throwing only four interceptions after tossing eight picks in his first four games.

The Saints saw their playoff hopes go on life support last week with a 28-13 home loss against Detroit. New Orleans still has two games to come against the first-place Bucs, so the Saints aren’t completely out of it yet, but this is clearly a must-win game.

#8. San Diego Chargers (5-7) @ Carolina Panthers (4-8)

Cam Newton

Bing Predicts winner: Panthers (61 percent)

Opening line: CAR -3
Kickoff time: 1:00 p.m. EST

The Chargers’ Week 13 defeat to Tampa Bay has all but eliminated them from playoff contention, while Carolina’s nightmare season continued in a 40-7 blowout loss against Seattle. With both teams reeling, Bing Predicts likes the home team’s chances, assuming, of course, Cam Newton doesn’t pick the wrong pre-game outfit this time.

#9. Houston Texans (6-6) @ Indianapolis Colts (6-6)

Andrew Luck

Bing Predicts winner: Colts (61 percent)

Opening line: IND -4.5
Kickoff time: 1:00 p.m. EST

Just 12 games into his Texan career, the verdict on Houston’s $72 million investment in Brock Osweiler has been made: it’s been a disaster. Osweiler ranks 31st with a 74.2 passer rating, and Houston lost its third straight game last week in Green Bay. Osweiler averages the fewest yards per pass attempt (5.77) among all qualified quarterbacks, yet the team is still tied for first in the horrendous AFC South with the Colts and Titans.

Like Houston, Indianapolis is also not a great team but is trending in the opposite direction. The Colts have won three of their past four games, and Andrew Luck looked sharp against the Jets in his return from a concussion last week. Luck completed 22 of 28 passes for 278 yards and four scores, and he’ll face a mediocre Houston pass defense in what should be a favorable matchup.

#10. Arizona Cardinals (5-6-1) @ Miami Dolphins (7-5)

Jay Ajayi

Bing Predicts winner: Dolphins (64 percent)

Opening line: MIA -2.5
Kickoff time: 1:00 p.m. EST

Arizona’s win last week kept its slim playoff hopes alive, as the team sits a game and a half behind Tampa Bay for the second wild card spot. Miami’s Jay Ajayi has been on fire in the second half of the season, averaging 113 yards per game and 5.53 yards per carry in his last seven games. He’ll face an Arizona run defense that ranks fifth in rushing yards per attempt allowed (3.8) in what should be the game’s key matchup.

#11. Atlanta Falcons (7-5) @ Los Angeles Rams (4-8)

Devonta Freeman

Bing Predicts winner: Falcons (64 percent)

Opening line: ATL -4.5
Kickoff time: 4:25 p.m. EST

The Rams’ season has devolved into misery, with the Jeff Fisher-Eric Dickerson feud grabbing the headlines and the team currently mired in a three-game losing streak. The Falcons are tied with Tampa Bay for first place in the NFC South, and though Atlanta’s defense has been subpar, it should have no trouble keeping the Rams’ feeble offense in check.

#12. Oakland Raiders (10-2) @ Kansas City Chiefs (9-3)

Alex Smith

Bing Predicts winner: Chiefs (66 percent)

Opening line: KC -3.5
Kickoff time: 8:25 p.m. EST (Thursday)

In the week’s most pivotal game, two of the league’s hottest teams face off in a critical intra-divisional matchup. Kansas City has won seven of its past eight games, a stretch that started with a 26-10 win in Oakland during Week 6.

The Raiders, meanwhile, have won six straight and averaged over 32 points per game during that time. The Chiefs have given up just 16.8 points per game at home this season, compared to 22.6 on the road, and Bing Predicts clearly puts weight in Kansas City’s home field advantage.

#13. Minnesota Vikings (6-6) @ Jacksonville Jaguars (2-10)

Sam Bradford

Bing Predicts winner: Vikings (66 percent)

Opening line: MIN -3
Kickoff time: 1:00 p.m. EST

There’s not much to say about the Jaguars this season except they’ve been very bad. The Vikings, lately, have also been very bad, as they’ve lost six of their past seven. Minnesota basically has no chance at the division title, as the team dropped both games against Detroit this season, but the Vikings are not out of the wild card race just yet.

Sam Bradford continued his dink-and-dunk ways last week, averaging just 5.49 yards per pass attempt, which could be an issue against Jacksonville. The Jaguars allow just 6.4 yards per pass attempt — third-lowest in the league, though they have the fewest interceptions in the league (three) and allow opposing quarterbacks to complete 64.2 percent of their throws.

#14. Cincinnati Bengals (4-7-1) @ Cleveland Browns (0-12)

Andy Dalton

Bing Predicts winner: Bengals (74 percent)

Opening line: CIN -4
Kickoff time: 1:00 p.m. EST

If the Browns were to ever win a game this season, this would be the week. They are coming off a bye week and facing a Bengals team that’s out of playoff contention and will likely be without A.J. Green. Bing Predicts doesn’t like Cleveland’s chances, but what do you expect with an 0-12 team? Cincinnati’s offense did look good in last week’s 32-14 win over the Eagles, and Cleveland will need the bad version of Andy Dalton to show up to have any realistic chance at an upset.

#15. Chicago Bears (3-9) @ Detroit Lions (8-4)

Matthew Stafford

Bing Predicts winner: Lions (80 percent)

Opening line: DET -7
Kickoff time: 1:00 p.m. EST

Detroit won its fourth straight game last week with an impressive defensive performance on the road against New Orleans. The Lions limited Drew Brees to his worst single-game home passer rating (63.3) since Oct. 7, 2007, a remarkable feat considering how bad Detroit’s pass defense had been all season. The Bears might just have found a long-term quarterback option in Matt Barkley, but they’re unlikely to have enough offensive firepower to keep up with Matthew Stafford and Co.

#16. Baltimore Ravens (7-5) @ New England Patriots (10-2)

LeGarrette Blount

Bing Predicts winner: Patriots (80 percent)

Opening line: NE -9
Kickoff time: 8:30 p.m. EST (Monday)

The Patriots eviscerated the Rams last week, out-gaining Los Angeles 402-162 in total yards. Baltimore’s offense scored a season-high 38 points last week in a blowout win over Miami, an encouraging sign after the Ravens averaged just 20.2 points in their last five games. New England has won seven of its last eight, though, and shouldn’t have too much trouble dispatching Baltimore at home.

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