Derek Carr

Last week’s batch of predictions turned in some mixed results — Bing Predicts called eight games correctly, with four losses and one tie (thanks, NFL overtime rules). Those aren’t bad outcomes by any means, but we’ll shoot for better results from here on out.

PointAfter, a sports data site powered by Graphiq, shifted its focus to Week 9 and made predictions for each game, using data from Bing Predicts. Bing Predicts uses web activity and social sentiment — in addition to historical player, team and match stats — to predict the outcome of NFL games. Web and social data allow Bing Predicts to capture real-time information about lineup changes and reaction to them to tune the strengths of teams.

This week features another 13 games, though fewer contests Bing sees as being particularly close to call. Bing predicts seven of the 13 games with at least 60 percent confidence, compared to just two such games in Week 8.

The week kicks off with Thursday night’s meeting between the Atlanta Falcons and Tampa Bay Buccaneers and concludes when the Buffalo Bills visit the Seattle Seahawks on Monday night. Just like last week, we’ll go from the most competitive game to the biggest blowout and offer our analysis for each matchup.

Note: Also included with game predictions are the opening lines for each game, courtesy of Vegas Insider.

#1. Pittsburgh Steelers (4-3) @ Baltimore Ravens (3-4)

Ben Roethlisberger

Bing Predicts winner: Ravens (52 percent)

Opening line: BAL -2.5
Kickoff time: 1:00 PM ET

The biggest storyline in this game is whether or not Steelers quarterback Ben Roethlisberger will play. Big Ben had knee surgery to fix a torn meniscus suffered in Pittsburgh’s Week 6 loss to Miami and did not play in Week 7 against New England. The Steelers had a bye last week, and head coach Mike Tomlin said Roethlisberger “could have a chance” to play at Baltimore.

The recent history between these divisional rivals suggests this will be a close game. Seven of Pittsburgh’s last nine trips to Baltimore have been decided by six points or fewer, and the Ravens have won six of those nine games. Baltimore is favored coming off a bye week despite losing its last four games, though each loss came by an average of less than five points.

#2. Philadelphia Eagles (4-3) @ New York Giants (4-3)

Carson Wentz

Bing Predicts winner: Eagles (52 percent)

Opening line: NYG -2
Kickoff time: 1:00 PM ET

The Eagles have dropped three of their past four games, most recently losing to the Cowboys in overtime last week. Philadelphia has won in its last three trips to MetLife Stadium, including last season’s 35-30 win in Week 17.

The Giants have won two straight games and are coming off a bye week, so they should be the more well-rested team. Quarterback Eli Manning’s season passer rating of 87.3 is his worst since 2013. The Giants are tied for 26th in points per game (19.0), while the Eagles rank fourth in points allowed per game (16.7). The battle in the trenches between Philadelphia’s defensive front and New York’s offensive line will be the matchup to watch — the Giants are tied for the second-fewest sacks allowed this season (11.0), and the Eagles are tied for the third-most sacks (22.0) in the league.

#3. Denver Broncos (6-2) @ Oakland Raiders (6-2)

Trevor Siemian

Bing Predicts winner: Broncos (53 percent)

Opening line: PK
Kickoff time: 8:30 PM ET

It’s a matchup between the two teams tied for first in the AFC West as the vaunted Broncos’ defense heads to Oakland to face the talented Raiders offense. Oakland is sixth in the league in points per game (26.9), while Denver is third in yards allowed per game (301.3). The Raiders haven’t beaten the Broncos at home since 2010, when Oakland quarterback Jason Campbell out-dueled Denver’s Tim Tebow in a 39-23 win.

#4. Tennessee Titans (4-4) @ San Diego Chargers (3-5)

Philip Rivers

Bing Predicts winner: Chargers (53 percent)

Opening line: SD -5.5
Kickoff time: 4:25 PM ET

The 3-5 Chargers have a lot of work to do to get back into the playoff picture, but Bing gives them the nod in this home matchup. San Diego plays in the toughest division in the NFL — all four AFC West teams have a positive point differential — while the Titans play in the league’s worst. The combined record of teams Tennessee has beaten this season is 9-21.

Titans quarterback Marcus Mariota has enjoyed a recent hot streak, posting a passer rating of 95.8 or higher in each of his past four games. He’s thrown 10 touchdowns and just one interception during that time, with 149 rushing yards on 19 carries.

#5. Buffalo Bills (4-4) @ Seattle Seahawks (4-2-1)

LeSean McCoy

Bing Predicts winner: Seahawks (55 percent)

Opening line: SEA -5.5
Kickoff time: 8:30 PM ET (Monday)

The Seahawks are winless in their last two games, losing to the Saints in Week 8 and tying with Arizona in Week 7. The offense has been the biggest issue, with Seattle ranking 23rd in yards per game (339.9) and 29th in points per game (18.7).

Bills running back LeSean McCoy sat out Buffalo’s Week 8 loss to the Patriots with a hamstring injury and is questionable to return this week. Mike Gillislee played well as his replacement, rushing for 85 yards on 12 carries with one touchdown.

#6. Atlanta Falcons (5-3) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-4)

Matt Ryan

Bing Predicts winner: Falcons (55 percent)

Opening line: ATL -2
Kickoff time: 8:25 PM ET (Thursday)

The Falcons have been in some close games as of late, as each of their last three have been decided by three points or less. They’ve lost twice in that span, but beat the Packers 33-32 at home in Week 8. The Bucs are 1.5 games back of Atlanta for first place in the NFC South and need a win to keep pace. Bing gives a slight edge to the Falcons here, but with both teams on short rest, there’s an added layer of unpredictability involved.

#7. Carolina Panthers (2-5) @ Los Angeles Rams (3-4)

Cam Newton

Bing Predicts winner: Panthers (60 percent)

Opening line: CAR -2
Kickoff time: 4:05 PM ET

The Rams are coming off a bye week, and boy did they need it. The team has lost three straight games and hasn’t won at home since Week 2. The team will host the defending NFC champions, who are 2-5 but just beat the Cardinals, 30-20, last week at home.

Carolina is tied for 26th in points allowed per game (28.0), but the Rams offense has been putrid all year. Los Angeles ranks 30th in yards per game (307.6) and points per game (17.1).

#8. New Orleans Saints (3-4) @ San Francisco 49ers (1-6)

Drew Brees

Bing Predicts winner: Saints (67 percent)

Opening line: NOR -3
Kickoff time: 4:05 PM ET

San Francisco is winless since its Week 1 victory over the Rams, and the team has been in a tailspin since. Five of its six losses have come by double digits, and the average margin of defeat has been over 17 points. The Saints are notoriously much worse on the road than at home, but the 49ers defense should be no match for Drew Brees — San Francisco has allowed an opponents’ passer rating of 94.9 (21st) and has given up the most rushing yards in the league, allowing an average of 5.1 yards per carry.

#9. New York Jets (3-5) @ Miami Dolphins (3-4)

Ryan Tannehill

Bing Predicts winner: Dolphins (69 percent)

Opening line: MIA -3
Kickoff time: 1:00 PM ET

The Jets have won their last four road games against the Dolphins but haven’t looked anything like the team that went 10-6 last season. New York ranks 28th in points per game (18.8) and 31st in passer rating (68.7), throwing a league-worst 12 interceptions.

The Jets defense has been strong against the run, allowing 3.3 yards per rush (2nd), but awful against the pass. The secondary has allowed opposing quarterbacks to post a 98.6 passer rating, sixth-worst in the NFL. Dolphins quarterback Ryan Tannehill has been mediocre this season, with a passer rating of 87.5 (21st), but ranks fourth in yards per pass attempt (8.11) and could be in store for a big day.

#10. Indianapolis Colts (3-5) @ Green Bay Packers (4-3)

Aaron Rodgers

Bing Predicts winner: Packers (70 percent)

Opening line: GB -6.5
Kickoff time: 4:25 PM ET

The Packers’ running back situation is in dire straits, as the team just released the recently acquired Knile Davis while still awaiting the return of Eddie Lacy and James Stark. Aaron Rodgers has posted two straight games with a passer rating above 100 and rushed for a career-high 60 yards in last week’s 33-32 loss to Atlanta.

The Colts, meanwhile, have yet to win consecutive games and continue to struggle in protecting Andrew Luck. Indianapolis has allowed a league-worst 31 sacks, including six in last week’s loss to the Chiefs. The defense hasn’t been much better, as it ranks 28th in points per game allowed (28.8) and 29th in yards per game allowed (402.5).

#11. Detroit Lions (4-4) @ Minnesota Vikings (5-2)

Sam Bradford

Bing Predicts winner: Vikings (72 percent)

Opening line: MIN -7
Kickoff time: 1:00 PM ET

The Vikings have lost two straight games, as the offense has sputtered since the team’s Week 6 bye. After averaging 23.8 points in its first five games, Minnesota has scored only 10 points in each of its two losses. Sam Bradford has particularly struggled, completing 60.2 percent of his passes with an average of 5.8 yards per attempt. Detroit has allowed a league-worst 113.7 passer rating to opposing quarterbacks, though, so Bradford should be able to bounce back.

The Lions saw their three-game winning streak snapped last week in a 20-13 loss at Houston. Theo Riddick became the team’s third different leading rusher in as many weeks, totaling 56 yards on 11 carries.

#12. Dallas Cowboys (6-1) @ Cleveland Browns (0-8)

Dez Bryant

Bing Predicts winner: Cowboys (77 percent)

Opening line: DAL -7
Kickoff time: 1:00 PM ET

The Browns are awful, and they don’t seem to pose much of a threat to the first-place Cowboys. Dallas has won six straight games thanks to the league’s best running game. Cleveland ranks 29th in rushing yards allowed per attempt (4.7) and 31st in opponents’ passer rating (103.4).

#13. Jacksonville Jaguars (2-5) @ Kansas City Chiefs (5-2)

Jeremy Maclin

Bing Predicts winner: Chiefs (86 percent)

Opening line: KC -8
Kickoff time: 1:00 PM ET

The Jaguars rank 26th in yards per game (330.6) and just fired their offensive coordinator. Blake Bortles ranks 27th in passer rating (80.3) and yards per pass attempt (6.57), showing major regression after throwing 35 touchdowns last season.

The Chiefs won’t be an easy test, as their defense ranks eighth in points allowed per game (19.6). Kansas City is ninth in opponents’ passer rating (83.5) and should have little trouble with a Jaguars team that’s currently in a state of turmoil.