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Terra LUNA Classic Price Prediction: Is the Terra Rally Petering Out as Risks Rise

Terra LUNA Classic

Terra Luna Classic (LUNC) has dipped by 4.6% during the past 24 hours. The current losses have erased the uptrend that LUNC had attempted to make in the past month. LUNC has been up by 211% over the past 30 days.

Terra LUNA Classic rally fades

Last week, an arrest warrant was issued against the co-founder of Terraform Labs, Do Kwon. The news dampened LUNC’s rally. Before the arrest warrant, LUNC had made an impressive rally, going beyond $0.0005 on September 8. However, LUNC has been on a steady downtrend after testing these levels as selling pressure intensifies.

LUNC was trading at $0.000282 at the time of writing, according to CoinGecko. The bears are currently in control, and in the short term, LUNC could drop towards the lower support levels of $0.00025. There is also a high likelihood that LUNC could drop below the $0.0002 levels.

The global market is bearish as investors anxiously await the results of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. If the meeting yields another hike in interest rates, a price decline is expected, and LUNC will drop further below current levels and test the late August 2022 lows.

Terra LUNA Classic rally fades

The price indicators show that bears are in control of the market. LUNC’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 49%, showing that bearish sentiment is still at play. The buying support that propelled LUNC’s gains during the past month is fading as traders take profits.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) shows a struggle for control between the bulls and the years, as the MACD line is at the signal line. If LUNC drops to $0.00025 in the short term, a bearish sentiment will be strong as traders expect LUNC to drop to the near-term price target of $0.000099.

Several macro factors are at play that signals a bearish outlook in the short term, among them being a recent US bill seeking to ban algorithmic stablecoins.

US bill targets algorithmic stablecoins

Algorithmic stablecoins have been at the top of priority lists by global regulators following the collapse of TerraUSD Classic (USTC) in May. Draft legislation before the US House of Representatives seeks to ban new algorithmic stablecoins like USTC.

A draft of the bill obtained by Bloomberg says that it proposes the criminalization of the issuance and creation of “endogenously collateralized stablecoin.” The legislation also has a two-year grace period for the existing algorithmic stablecoin providers to change their current models and have a different collateral mechanism.

The bill is expected to cover stablecoins whose value depends on another virtual asset created by the same creator. It also includes stablecoins whose crypto marketing messages say they can be converted, repurchased, and redeemed at a fixed price.

The other provision of the bill is mandating the US Treasury to be involved in a study of algorithmic stablecoins. Other regulators that have also been mentioned include the Federal Reserve, the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, and the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency.

In its report, Bloomberg said the bill could be passed by next week. USTC lost its peg in May and caused billions of dollars in losses. At the time of writing, the stablecoin was trading at $0.032.


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