NFL Week 3 Predictions

Tom Brady

Tom Brady and the Patriots look to bounce back against the Ravens

Sunday’s Games:

St. Louis at Chicago(-7) 1:00PM – Both teams come into this one at 1-1 as the Bears take on the Rams in Chicago. The Rams rallied from a 14-3 first quarter deficit to defeat the Washington Redskins last Sunday. Look for Sam Bradford to hit his favorite target Danny Amendola in this one. Bradford and Amendola connected 15 times against the Skins. RB Steven Jackson will be a game time decision as he nurses a groin injury. Jay Cutler and the Bears are off a 23-10 loss to the Pack on Thursday night. The Bears played poorly, and the night was capped when Jay Cutler yelled and bumped offensive lineman J’Marcus Webb. It’s been the talk of the town. The Bears are 8-1ATS L9 as a Fav when Cutler starts. The Bears put the drama behind them and cruise to victory in this one.
Chicago 33 St. Louis 14

Tampa Bay at Dallas(-8) 1:00PM – Another battle of 1-1 teams battle in Dallas. The Bucs are off a heartbreaking loss to the Giants at Metlife last Sunday. The Bucs led 24-13 at halftime, but they couldn’t hold off the Giants who scored 25 in the 4th. Dallas beat those same Giants in the opener, but looked awful against Seattle in week two. What Dallas team will show up this week? Coach Schiano has this Tampa team fired up. Tough spot here for Bucs off the emotional loss last week, but they stay close.
Dallas 27 Tampa Bay 23

San Francisco(-7) at Minnesota 1:00PM – The 49ers might be the best team in the NFL. They’ve controlled their first two games against playoff teams from last year, defeating Green Bay and Detroit. Coach Harbaugh has them ready for every game. Harbaugh is 14-5-1 ATS, while the Vikes have not covered their last 5 at the Metrodome. The 49ers will control this one as Minnesota QB Christian Ponder struggles against that heralded SF defense.
San Francisco 24 Minnesota 13

Detroit(-3.5) at Tennessee 1:00PM – The Tennessee Titans need to get something going and quick. They’ve done just about nothing in their first two games putting up total of 23 points. Chris Johnson has 21 yards in 19 carries. That effort isn’t going result in too many victories. The Titans face the Texans next week, so this really becomes a must win. The Lions are off a Sunday Night loss to the 49ers. On paper there’s not much to like about Tennessee in this contest, but sometimes teams find a way to win. Tennessee finds to win at home to gain their first victory.
Tennessee 23 Detroit 20

Cincinnati at Washington(-3) 1:00PM – The Redskins were on their way to a 2-0 record before the Rams woke up in St. Louis. The Bengals evened their record after beating the Browns last week. This game features two young quarterbacks in Robert Griffin III and Andy Dalton. These two last met in college (2010) as TCU, led by Dalton, cruised to the 45-10 win over Griffin and the Baylor Bears. The Redskins lost defensive players Brian Orakpo and Adam Carriker for the season. This is a big blow to an already suspect defense, which Dalton and company will look to expose. The Bengals win a tight one and spoil RGIII’s home opener at Fedex Field.
Cincinnati 24 Washington 19

Jets(-1) at Miami 1:00PM – Two 1-1 teams meet in this AFC clash. The Jets blew out the Bills to start the season, but fell last week to the Steelers in Pittsburgh. Miami was handled easily in the opener against Texans, but looked impressive against the Raiders in Miami last Sunday. Let’s keep in mind it was the Raiders. While it’s expected to be a humid day in South Florida, the Jets have too much talent for the Dolphins. They’ll get it done.
NY Jets 27 Miami 13

Kansas City at New Orleans(-9) 1:00PM – If you’re looking for a well played defensive battle you’re in the wrong place. These defenses have been disgusting. Period. Kansas City is averaging 377 yards allowed on defense, while the Saints are allowing 461 yards per game. Ouch. The Chiefs will look to establish a running game led by Jamaal Charles. They want to keep Brees off the field. Despite the 0-2 start the Saints have been putting up big numbers on offense. The Saints should not be favored by nine points over anyone the way that defense is playing right now. The nightmare season continues for the Saints as KC gets the win.
Kansas City 27 New Orleans 26

Buffalo(-3) at Cleveland 1:00PM – The Buffalo Bills rebounded last week, blowing out Kansas City. The defense looked better, and created some turnovers. The Bills are led by C.J. Spiller who currently sits atop the NFL rushing leader board. While Brandon Weeden improved on his play from his disastrous week one showing, he’s still finding his way. The Bills defense also turned it around last week. If Mario Williams and company can consistently play at the level, the Bills could be tough throughout the season. The Bills build from their win last week and defeat the Cleveland Browns on the road, despite no wins on the road in their last eight.
Buffalo 30 Cleveland 16

Jacksonville at Indianapolis(-3) 1:00PM – Andrew Luck picked up his first win last week in the NFL. The Indiana faithful hope it’s the first of many. The Jacksonville Jaguars are still looking for their first win in 2012 as they travel to Indianapolis. The Jaguars outplayed the Vikings in Week 1, but fell in overtime. Last week the Jags were outmatched and outclassed by the Houston Texans. This is certainly a winnable game Sunday for them against the Colts. QB Blaine Gabbert has been inconsistent thus far, completing just over 50% of his passes. RB Jones-Drew is averaging 4.4 ypc early in the season. This should be a tight one as the Jags look to pick up their first win.
Indianapolis 24 Jacksonville 20

Philadelphia(-3.5) at Arizona 4:05PM – The Philadelphia Eagles take their 2-0 record into Arizona to take on the undefeated Cardinals. The Eagles have averaged an eye popping 471yds/g, despite nine turnovers. The Eagles are fortunate to be 2-0 and could very easily be 0-2. The Arizona Cardinals are off a huge upset win at New England last week. It looks like QB Kevin Kolb will get the start against his old team as John Skelton nurses a sprained right ankle. The Eagles lost the services of C Jason Kelce for the remainder of the season. WR Jeremy Machlin will not be available against Arizona. The Eagles have played back-to-back slugfests, and this game will be challenging. Arizona will be fired up looking to go 3-0 to start the 2012 campaign. Arizona is a little bit healthier and playing good football. The Cardinals pull off the minor upset and improve their record to 3-0.
Arizona 23 Philadelphia 17

Atlanta at San Diego(-3) 4:05PM – Another battle of 2-0 teams meet in San Diego. The Falcons are off a Monday Night win against Peyton Manning and the Denver Broncos. While the Falcons prevailed, they didn’t put the Broncos away. Strong teams don’t let opponents hang around. The Chargers demolished the Titans last week in SD, after an unimpressive win against the Raiders. The Chargers two wins are against teams that are a collective 0-4. It looks like TE Antonio Gates (Rib) and RB Ryan Mathews will return to action Sunday. RB Michael Turner will play despite his DUI after the Bronco game Monday. The short week, travel to the west coast, and the Turner distraction will be too much to overcome.
San Diego 31 Atlanta 20

Houston(-1.5) at Denver 4:25PM – This is the game of the day. Houston brings its 2-0 record into Mile High. The Texans have been dominating in their first two games albeit against powder puffs Miami and Jacksonville. They step up in class here facing the Broncos. Denver comes in at 1-1 after dropping the Monday night game against the Falcons. Manning threw 3 INT’s early and could never catch Atlanta, but they never quit. Manning doesn’t seem to have the arm strength that he had a few years ago, so he’ll need to adjust to a short and controlled passing attack. Kubiak returns to Denver, and all the states and trends favor the Texans. Texans are 12-2 ATS last 14 and get the win.
Houston 27 Denver 20

Pittsburgh(-4) at Oakland 4:25PM – The Raiders come in desperate for a win after dropping its first two. They were manhandled in Miami last week falling 35-13. Expect to see a top flight effort here by the Raiders as they get back on track. The Steelers have been hit by the injury bug this year as S Troy Polamalu, LB James Harrison, and RB Rashard Mendenhall will sit this one out again. Both teams have struggled ATS as of late. The Raiders are 3-5 ATS at home in their last eight, and the Steelers are 2-9 ATS last 11 on the road. This will be an ugly, grind it out contest against old rivals. The Raiders find a way to get it done and gain their first win.
Oakland 20 Pittsburgh 17

New England at Baltimore(-3) 8:25PM – The Baltimore Ravens were so close to a Super Bowl trip last year. A dropped passed in the end zone, and a missed chip shot FG against the Patriots squashed those dreams. The Ravens are 1-1, losing a tough one late against the Eagles last Sunday. They’ve moved to a no-huddle offense led by QB Joe Flacco that has had good success thus far. The Patriots were stunned last week at home as the Arizona Cardinals came in and controlled the game. The Patriots and Belichick have covered 6 of their last 7 getting points. The Ravens catch the Patriots off a loss, which is definitely not a good spot. Have to go with the Patriots in this one.
New England 33 Baltimore 24

Monday Night:

Green Bay(-3) at Seattle 8:35PM – The Seattle Seahawks are off their first win of the season. The Seahawks easily handled the Cowboys last week 27-7, and now welcome the Green Bay Packers Monday night. The Packers last played 11 days ago, winning against the Bears. The defense really clamped down and shutdown a viable Bear offense. The Seahawks have been very tough at home under Carroll sporting a 13-5 ATS record. The Pack are no slouches either as they are 18-8 ATS their last 26. This should be a good one, but the Pack prevails with too many weapons.
Green Bay 27 Seattle 17

Best Bets: Patriots (+3), Kansas City (+9), Arizona (+3.5)

Last Week ATS: 7-9
YTD ATS: 13-19

Last Week Best Bets ATS: 1-2
YTD Best Bests ATS: 3-3

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